Recent Progress

What have we done so far?

Group of ALSPAC study participants standing outdoors in Bristol's harbourside
©2023 – Children of the 90s

At the beginning of the first part of the research programme (August 2019), we held a workshop in Bristol to devise the beliefs and behaviours questions to be asked of the ALSPAC parents (G0s) and their 27-year-old offspring (G1s) in 2019-2020.

These questionnaires were completed by 4584 G1 offspring towards the end of 2019, and by 6844 G0 parents at the beginning of 2020 shortly before the lock-down which occurred as the result of the Covid-19 pandemic.

This provides an excellent resource, together with subsequent data collected after the lockdown, to determine ways in which beliefs may, or may not, have been associated with individual responses to the pandemic.

We corresponded with experts in various fields regarding the further questions which were asked in the next questionnaires and hands-on sweeps of the ALSPAC G0s and G1s. This resulted in detailed questionnaires designed to identify: (a) facets of belief; (b) possible mediators, moderators and/or confounders.  These subsequent questionnaires, funded by this programme, concern the mental and physical health outcomes.

Highlights from published papers

Longitudinal cohort studies like ALSPAC often suffer from the loss of participants over time. This attrition is likely to be based on a number of characteristics like age, sex, and socioeconomic background and can bias analyses of these characteristics. This selection bias occurs when the cohort of participants is systematically different from the overall population of interest. For example, if religiosity is associated with a higher likelihood of remaining in the study, then we would expect the study population to gradually become proportionately more religious over time.

Jimmy Morgan and colleagues used participation data for the ALSPAC mothers, their partners, and offspring across four different time points to discover whether religious beliefs, religious affiliation, or religious attendance were associated with study participation. They calculated participation in four different ways: the total number of questionnaires and clinic attendances completed, a grouped version of the total completed, a binary measure of whether the most recent questionnaire (2020) had been completed, and the length of time spent in the study.

All four analyses gave similar results. Before adjusting for relevant confounders, all measures of religiosity showed some association with study participation. However, after adjustment, frequency of religious attendance was the only religious factor associated with continued participation. Mothers who attended a place of worship at least once a month on average completed two more questionnaires compared to those who did not attend at all. They were also 50% more likely to have completed the most recent questionnaire and 20% less likely to drop out of the study.

These results show that engaging in behaviours associated with religion, like going to a place of worship, may increase levels of community engagement and prosocial behaviour. However, the act of identifying as religious or believing in a divine power may not on its own provide these benefits. It is hoped that this study will contribute to the understanding of the factors affecting study participation in ALSPAC and (possibly) other longitudinal studies. Further research is needed to quantify the effect that selection bias may have on future analyses.

Morgan J, Halstead I, Northstone K and Major-Smith D. The associations between religious/spiritual beliefs and behaviours and study participation in a prospective cohort study (ALSPAC) in Southwest England [version 2; peer review: 2 approved]. Wellcome Open Res 2024, 7:186 (https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.17975.2)

A programme of work by Isaac Halstead has considered the mental health of the G1s in regard to the religiosity of their mothers. He has shown that, compared with children of agnostic mothers, those whose mothers were either very religious or atheist were mare at risk of problems in childhood, and depression in adolescence [see E1 and E2 in publication section].